by Jim Lantern, Centrist Independent (unaffiliated) Voter, Norman Oklahoma
My New Predictions for Election 2016 – posted on 25 August 2016 – Noon Thursday
As of this date and time, Countdown to Poling Places Open 7:00am Central Time Election Day Tuesday 8 November 2016: 75 days, 19 hours.
I predict the Hillary Clinton controversies will increase, with at least one major revelation between now and Election Day, but she will remain untouchable.
I predict the Donald Trump controversies will increase, with at least one major revelation between now and Election Day, but he will remain untouchable.
However, the growing darkness hanging over Clinton and Trump will remain at the back of the minds of voters who are paying attention. Without most of them realizing it has crossed a point of no return line, they will continue to claim support for their candidate until the last minute.
Gary Johnson will not be allowed to participate in the presidential debates on TV – his national average will not reach 15% but might be as close as 12% by the date of the first debate 26 September 2016. In some special polls, he is doing very well – even better than Trump! From CNN…
- In the new polls, Trump trails by a wide margin in both subgroups. Among blacks in North Carolina, 88% say they support Clinton, 7% Johnson and just 3% Trump. Among Hispanic voters in Arizona, 57% back Clinton, 20% Trump, 15% Johnson and 5% Stein. A key component of Trump’s pitch to these groups is his claim to be able to improve their economic situation, yet in both states, non-whites broadly trust Clinton over Trump on handling the economy, with Hispanics in Arizona breaking 61% to 36% in Clinton’s favor and blacks in North Carolina breaking 85% for Clinton to 12% for Trump.
- Trump’s lead in Arizona is also bolstered by support from independent voters, who back him by a 41% to 27% margin, with 20% behind Johnson. In North Carolina, independent voters are more evenly split, 40% Trump to 38% Clinton with 18% behind Johnson.
I predict when voters finally do go to vote, and are standing there looking at the choices on the ballots – where Clinton, Johnson, and Trump are the only candidates for President listed, then the full weight of how wrong Clinton and Trump are will hit them full force. They will, as they stand there, really thinking about it seriously – perhaps for the first time, focus on Johnson. I predict about 30% will vote for Clinton, about 20% for Trump, and about 50% for Johnson – perhaps actually 51% of the popular vote. His unexpected win will shock the world.
Have we forgotten why we want to toss out traditional politicians who lie to us? As a businessman, Trump is proving to be no different than the typical lying politician. Therefore, he will not get my vote. Likewise, for the same reasons, Hillary Clinton will not get my vote. Instead, I will vote for the truth – I will vote for Gary Johnson, Libertarian – former Republican – twice elected Governor of a blue Democrat state.
Questions – Readers may participate in Comments under this posting…
- Who will you vote for?
- Have you made your choice and there’s no chance you will change your mind? Have you made your choice, but there is a chance you will change your mind by or on Election Day?
- Do you believe Clinton will win, but you will vote for Trump or Johnson (or another candidate if on the ballot) anyway? Do you believe Trump will win, but you will vote for Clinton or Johnson (or another candidate if on the ballot) anyway?
- Do you believe Johnson might deliver an unexpected win?
- Do you believe something major discovered about Clinton will derail her campaign before Election Day? Or something major discovered but fail to derail her campaign? Do you believe something major discovered about Trump will derail his campaign before Election Day? Or something major discovered but fail to derail his campaign?
Thanks for reading and participating.